Prospect Watch, Week 9: Golden climbs 14, Henderson drops 15

The same fourteen Prospects cards are in the field for a second week, and the trade deadline passed with none of the 32 moved. Matthew Golden climbed most, 50% to 64%, after Green Bay won 45–27 in New England, and Treveyon Henderson fell furthest, 79% to 64%.

Week 9 is in, and the trade deadline has passed. A Prospects card takes a one-time +5 to every rating if its player’s team makes the Playoffs, and stays as pulled if it does not. None of the 32 cards in Prospects #1 and Prospects #2 was traded, so every card’s team is now settled for the season. When a team gets in, raise that card’s rating by five in your own collection. Nothing does it for you.

The odds blend ten sources this week: Kalshi and Polymarket, bet365, five published projection models including ESPN’s, and two simulations of the 136 games left, run with the league’s tiebreakers. For a seller’s view of the same 32 cards, with what each is fetching on the market, Relvig Cire’s Community Blog post says whether to sell or hold every one.

Who is in?

For the second week running, the same fourteen cards are on teams holding a playoff seed, and the odds still expect fourteen to take +5. All four NFC North teams hold a seed, which puts Caleb Williams, Tate Ratledge, Jordan Addison and Matthew Golden in together.

Five are at 93% or better: DeWayne Carter at 98%, Brian Thomas Jr. at 97%, Mykel Williams at 96%, Sai'vion Jones at 94% and Jalen Rivers at 93%.

MATTHEW GOLDEN — WR, Green Bay Packers. The biggest riser of the week, 50% to 64%. Green Bay won 45–27 at New England to go 6–3 and stays seventh in the NFC. Minnesota visits on Sunday: 76% with a win, 48% with a loss.

ABDUL CARTER — LB, New York Giants. Up from 60% to 69% after a 19–11 win in Philadelphia. The Giants are 5–2–1, lead the NFC East and hold the NFC’s third seed. Washington visits on Sunday: 81% with a win, 54% with a loss.

TREVEYON HENDERSON — RB, New England Patriots. The biggest fall of the week, 79% to 64%, on the other side of that 45–27 game. New England is 5–4 and holds on to seventh in the AFC. The trip to Detroit on Sunday: 76% with a win, 55% with a loss.

JORDAN ADDISON — WR, Minnesota Vikings. Down from 83% to 78% after a 23–6 home loss to Buffalo, Minnesota’s second loss in a row, which dropped it from second in the NFC to sixth. The trip to Green Bay on Sunday: 90% with a win, 69% with a loss.

JA'TAVION SANDERS — TE, Carolina Panthers. Still the fourth seed, because Carolina leads the NFC South at 3–5 on a tiebreaker with New Orleans, but a 26–21 loss to Denver took its odds from 32% to 27%. The trip to New Orleans on Sunday decides the lead: 38% with a win, 17% with a loss.

On the bubble

Four cards are outside today with odds of 30% or better.

ZACH CHARBONNET — RB, Seattle Seahawks. Seattle beat Arizona 17–3 to go 5–4 and is eighth in the NFC, and the odds held at 46%. The sources still split: 52% in the markets, 44% in the models. The trip to Las Vegas on Sunday: 51% with a win, 35% with a loss.

KAMREN KINCHENS — S, Los Angeles Rams. A 20–13 win in Washington took the Rams to 5–4, but the odds slipped from 45% to 43%. They are ninth in the NFC with the hardest schedule left in the league. The trip to Arizona on Sunday: 49% with a win, 25% with a loss.

GRAHAM BARTON — C, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa Bay lost 27–24 at Chicago and is 3–6, but the odds held at 43%. It is half a game behind Carolina for the NFC South and has the best margin in the division, +24. A bye in Week 10, then a trip to Detroit: 54% with a win, 36% with a loss.

KAMARI LASSITER — CB, Houston Texans. Up from 24% to 33% after Houston won 44–22 at the Chargers. The Texans are 3–5 and eleventh in the AFC, and Sunday at Cleveland is the biggest swing on the calendar for any card: 43% with a win, 14% with a loss.

Long shots

Fourteen cards are on teams below 30%:

• Tyler Booker, Cowboys, 27%
• Jared Verse, Browns, 24%
• Kelvin Banks Jr., Saints, 18%
• Xavier Watts, Falcons, 15%
• Malaki Starks, Ravens, 13%
• Jackson Powers-Johnson, Raiders, 11%
• Jayden Daniels, Commanders, 8%
• Paris Johnson Jr., Cardinals, 1%
• Jihaad Campbell, Eagles, 1%
• Tyler Warren, Colts, 1%
• T'Vondre Sweat, Jets, 1%
• Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson, Titans, 1%
• De'Von Achane, Dolphins, under 1%
• Tarheeb Still, Chargers, under 1%

JARED VERSE — DE, Cleveland Browns. A 23–22 loss at New Orleans left Cleveland 5–4 and eighth in the AFC, outscored by 35, and the odds fell from 31% to 24%. Houston visits on Sunday: 42% with a win, 14% with a loss.

MALAKI STARKS — S, Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore lost 33–10 to Jacksonville on Thursday, its first game since Lamar Jackson’s thumb injury and its fourth loss in a row, and the odds fell from 17% to 13%.

JAYDEN DANIELS — QB, Washington Commanders. Down from 15% to 8% after the 20–13 loss to the Rams. Washington is 2–5–1.

Games to watch

The biggest swings for the cards over the next two weeks, as each team’s odds with a win and with a loss:

• Week 10, Texans at Browns: Kamari Lassiter 43% or 14%, Jared Verse 42% or 14%.
• Week 10, Vikings at Packers: Matthew Golden 76% or 48%, Jordan Addison 90% or 69%.
• Week 10, Commanders at Giants: Abdul Carter 81% or 54%.
• Week 10, Rams at Cardinals: Kamren Kinchens 49% or 25%.
• Week 10, Patriots at Lions: Treveyon Henderson 76% or 55%, Tate Ratledge 83% or 72%.
• Week 10, Panthers at Saints: Ja'Tavion Sanders 38% or 17%, Kelvin Banks Jr. 26% or 7%.
• Week 10, 49ers at Cowboys: Tyler Booker 39% or 19%.
• Week 11, Buccaneers at Lions: Graham Barton 54% or 36%.

Risers and fallers

• ▲RiserMatthew Golden — 50% to 64% after a 45–27 win at New England.
• ▲RiserAbdul Carter — 60% to 69% with a win in Philadelphia and the NFC East lead.
• ▲RiserKamari Lassiter — 24% to 33% after Houston scored 44 at the Chargers.
• ▼FallerTreveyon Henderson — 79% to 64%, the biggest fall of the week, after the home loss to Green Bay.
• ▼FallerJared Verse — 31% to 24% after a one-point loss in New Orleans.
• ▼FallerJayden Daniels — 15% to 8% at 2–5–1.
• ●WatchJordan Addison — Two losses in a row and down to sixth. Green Bay in Week 10 is worth 21 points.
• ●WatchJa'Tavion Sanders — In the field on a tiebreaker. The trip to New Orleans settles the NFC South lead for now.

This is an original blog article written by FHCWiz community writers, on various topics surrounding the FHC 27 (Football Head Coach 27) mobile game by Gamebasics BV. FHCWiz has no association with Gamebasics BV, and these articles are opinion and analysis, not official information.